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The heinous criminal attacks on the World Trade Center in New York
and the Pentagon in Washington highlight in a most grisly way the
possibilities--and the limits--of violence in contemporary life.
The assaults opened up a new tactic that will almost certainly be
copied by others, turning every commercial plane into a potential
weapon of mass destruction. They escalate both the scale of terrorism,
making dreaded scenarios of nuclear bombs in a suitcase or chemical
and biological warfare attacks seem more plausible, and the long-term
global trend toward making civilians targets in conflicts. Those
prospects, just as much as human sympathy, may have led to the nearly
unanimous condemnation of the acts by government leaders around
the world and unprecedented support from both the United Nations
and NATO.
But the attack's evocation of Pearl Harbor to many Americans also
underscores how different this event is from the triggering of the
U.S. entry into World War II. The scale of carnage may warrant calling
it war, but it is quite obviously not an invasion by a nation bent
on conquest or war by any conventional definition. Indeed, although
early information indicates a connection of the hijackers to the
Middle East, it is not at all clear who was responsible, let alone
the implication of any state in the devastation.
Labeling the acts as war risks leading the United States into a
strategy that may only
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"It's war," says
the Pentagon.
ISAAC MENASHE/EZUMA
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enlarge the catastrophe. Just as the attack demonstrated the vulnerability
of the world's only superpower, the response needs to recognize the
limits of force and violence as a solution. Rabid hawks--like Pennsylvania
Republican Sen. Rick Santorum, who called for vengeance not justice,
and conservative leader William Bennett, who called for a bloody war
against "radical Islam"--represent the kind of shoot-first, think-later
(if ever) response that is likely to lead to more terrorist attacks
on the United States and the massacre of civilians elsewhere in the
world.
What kind of response is appropriate legally, politically and strategically?
The goals should be to bring those responsible to justice and to
prevent future acts of terrorist violence--set within the larger
context of pursuing international peace. The methods for doing so
are primarily political and diplomatic, even if some targeted use
of force may be both legitimate and effective. It is important for
the United States, which has a long and sorry history of both tolerating
terrorists acting in our supposed national interests (such as contras
in Nicaragua or the current paramilitaries in Colombia) and attacking
civilian targets (from Hiroshima to Vietnam), to break out of the
cycle of violence in this instance and set an example that we would
want other governments to follow. This is not because the United
States has lost legitimacy to act because of any past misdeeds.
Important as it is to understand how this country has fueled violence
around the world (and not only by being its largest arms dealer),
nothing the United States has done justifies the attacks made on
the World Trade Center.
But the attacks set off a stampede of politicians calling for immediate
increases in U.S. military spending, but buying more fighters or
building a National Missile Defense system would do nothing to advance
the country's legitimate goals. If it's unclear whether Star Wars
would be able to stop any missiles, it's unquestionable that it
will do nothing to prevent attacks like those against the Pentagon
and World Trade Center. Spending the $8.3 billion Bush is requesting
for missile defense on economic development in the Middle East would
do far more for national security.
Under the U.N. charter, nations may legally engage in violence
only through the Security Council or in self-defense, not for reprisals
or pre-emptive attacks. Setting aside for a moment the question
of Security Council action, there is a plausible--if legally disputable--case
the United States might make for attacks on terrorist groups or
even a nation supporting them, according to Doug Cassel, director
of the Center for International Human Rights at Northwestern University.
For example, if the attacks are linked to Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda
group, then the United States could argue that counterstrikes are
part of self-defense against an ongoing series of attacks.
Following a World Court ruling on state responsibility for terrorist
groups in Honduras, it would also be possible to argue that the
Afghan government holds some responsibility in such a case. Yet
even if these arguments are accepted, the legitimate response must
aim at military targets, try to avoid civilian casualties and be
proportionate--which, given the scale of attack on the United States,
still gives a lot of leeway. The United States--or the United Nations--could
also set out to arrest and try all those involved, although it also
would have the right to use violence against anyone who resisted
arrest.
Of course, there is little chance that the United States will adopt
such a measured response. Beyond the cries for revenge, there are
also demands that the United States demonstrate its power through
some massive display of force. But there are many reasons why it
should adopt a multi-layered strategy that uses force selectively.
Massive military attacks on a wide variety of targets are unlikely
to have much impact on any dispersed terrorist operations, or even
many governments that might be targeted. As a New York Times
correspondent in Afghanistan noted, it would be difficult to bomb
that devastated country "back to the stone age," since it is there
already. And as a former CIA operative noted, Clinton administration
cruise missile attacks on al-Qaeda camps bounced some rubble around
in the mountains of Afghanistan without affecting terrorist capabilities.
If bin Laden really is the mastermind, then the most devastating
attack on the world's greatest power was launched from what is probably
the world's poorest and most backward nation. That alone should
suggest that conventional notions of warfare simply aren't going
to work in this case, unless the United States intends large-scale
ground invasions and long-term occupations of most of the Middle
East, which could lead to World War III.
At the moment, the United States is in the rare position of having
worldwide public sympathy and at least nominal support for suppressing
terrorism. If it abuses the legitimacy of its moral high ground,
then it will lose the political support that may be the most effective
means of both bringing the guilty to justice and controlling terrorism.
Massive attacks--let alone such mindless strategies as a war against
"radical Islam"--will surely lead to large numbers of civilian casualties
and hardship. Such attacks will not only make it difficult for any
government in the region to cooperate with the United States, they
will also generate thousands of new recruits for terrorist groups
and millions of sympathizers.
There is good reason to distrust the intentions of governments
in the Middle East.
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BOB
HOULIHAN/US NAVY/GETTY IMAGES
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Many are undemocratic and often unpopular. They may be reluctant to
crack down on fundamentalist Islamic groups that focus their hatred
on the United States or Israel out of fear that such groups might
then turn against them. Although the only effective way to combat
the terrorist groups of the region would be with the cooperation of
governments in the Middle East, they would need something from the
United States or the rest of the world to reward their assistance.
Yet help from these governments, especially if it was seen as an alliance
with the United States, could backfire politically, unleashing more
popular support for militant fundamentalism.
That might be lessened, however, if Middle Eastern governments
truly democratized themselves, as part of an economic and political
development package. Democracy is no sure-fire antidote to Islamic
fundamentalism, but it is the best long-term bet. It will not be
easy to ask for both democratic reform and action against terrorists,
but anything less would risk a greater version of the same "blowback"
from past U.S. interventions that plagues the country now. After
all, bin Laden rose to prominence as part of the U.S.-funded, CIA-assisted
Afghan fundamentalist war against the Soviets during the '80s.
Massive military attacks are also likely to alienate many of the
diverse range of leaders outside the region, not just Europe but
also Russia and China, who have lined up in support of the United
States. The broader the network of cooperation, the easier it will
be to put pressure on states like Pakistan or Afghanistan that may
be harboring whoever is responsible.
At home, the war frenzy risks provoking threats to civil liberties
and democracy for all Americans, but especially Arabs or other Muslims
living in the United States. That may come partly in deference to
any actions taken in the name of security. It may also come with
Congress giving the President carte blanche or encouraging the CIA,
which has not provided needed intelligence about terrorist groups,
to return to its bad old ways (starting with lifting restrictions
on working with known human rights violators).
The dangers are perhaps made even greater because the target is
a shadowy, fetishized enemy--"terrorism"--ripped out of any social
or historical context that would help us understand and deal with
the roots of terror. For example, New Republic editor Peter Beinart
is already viciously attempting--in an updated version of McCarthyism--to
link the domestic anti-globalization movement to anti-American terrorism
and demands that the movement must choose between America and the
terrorists. He writes: "Domestic political dissent is immoral without
a prior statement of national solidarity, a choosing of sides."
The key to resolving the ongoing problem of terrorism from the
Middle East is a solution of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. While
the Wall Street Journal editorialized that the terrorist attacks
proved the folly of appeasement, there has been no appeasement of
Palestinians. Indeed, there has been little from the Bush administration
at all, except a disengaged but lockstep support for Israel.
The United States has also lost its limited credibility as a neutral
broker. At this point, a multilateral intervention, involving the
European Union and possibly the Security Council, to promote a peace
agreement would be more promising, even if diplomatically unwieldy.
The grand bargain must include not only security for Israel and
a Palestinian state, but a regional strategy of cooperation against
terrorism, deliberate steps toward democracy, and a plan for economic
development and poverty reduction.
Needless to say, it will not be quick or easy to reach such an
agreement, but the level of worldwide unity and concern prompted
by the terrorist attacks on the United States opens the door of
opportunity. While the world will tolerate and even support limited
military actions aimed at bringing the perpetrators of the terrorist
attacks and their backers to justice, the political and diplomatic
unity needed for a long-term solution will be shattered by widespread
military action. The United States will exercise real strength if
it takes the firm but principled high road to justice and peace.
It will demonstrate the futility of its own military might if it
resorts to war. 
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