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News » January 27, 2004

Bush to Find New Ally in Guatemala

By Daniel J. Hughes

The victory of conservative candidate Oscar Berger over left-wing opponent Alvaro Colom in Guatemala’s run-off presidential election December 27 may be good for the Bush administration and big business but is disappointing for Guatemala’s rural poor.

Berger, of the Grand National Alliance, received just more than 54 percent of the vote to Colom’s 46 percent, completing an electoral process that stalled in November when none of the 11 candidates received the required 50 percent to win the election outright.

Only 47 percent of Guatemala’s 5 million registered voters cast ballots, 11 percent less than in the initial race, but the election was considered a success nonetheless. Few incidents of violence or voter fraud, which plagued the run-up election, were reported in this, the nation’s second democratic election since the end of its 36-year-long civil war in 1996.

Berger, a businessman, lawyer and mayor of Guatemala City throughout the ’90s, swore to stay out of politics after his defeat four years ago but was persuaded to run for office by Guatemala’s most powerful business interests.

Engineer and businessman Colom of the New National Alliance had the support of rural Mayans and vowed to help Guatemala’s poor and prevent privatization of state companies.

Berger’s pro-business and pro-free-trade agenda should boost relations with the United States. Geoff Thale, a senior Central America associate for the Washington Office on Latin America, a think tank that promotes human rights in Latin America, referred to Berger’s economic policy as “very similar to that of the Bush administration.” Berger plans to continue negotiations for a U.S.-Guatemala free trade agreement stalled by a lack of cooperation in the U.S. war on drugs by his predecessor, Alfonso Portillo.

Colom conceded to Berger on December 29 but refused a position in his government, saying: “We congratulate him and I appreciate the invitation he extended to me. But out of respect for the more than 1 million Guatemalans who disagree with his opinions, I won’t accept.”

Berger’s support came mostly from urban areas, and Colom supporters worry that he doesn’t understand the rural, native population and their harsh living conditions. “The win is good for Berger but not for the poor people,” said Georgina Martinez, a Colom supporter. “Berger is with the rich people.”

Unlike his predecessor, Berger has said he is committed to following the U.N. peace accord of 1996 that ended Guatemala’s civil war. Two days after the election, Guatemala’s Nobel laureate, Rigoberta Menchu, and other human rights activists urged Berger to implement the accords. “[They] offer us a national agenda and they offer us a chance to make the country more democratic,” Menchu said. “Important provisions of the accords have stagnated; it is time to revive them.”

Efrain Rios Montt, an ally of Portillo at one time supported by the United States, placed third. He faces genocide charges in Guatemala and Spain for his ruthless tenure in 1982 and 1983 and did not receive U.S. support in this election.
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  • Reader Comments

    I disagree with the opinion of Georgina Martinez (the Colom Supporter), for the reason that the last government, leadered under the scenes by Efran Rios Montt, just sunked us more than anyone ever did, and if they are of course in Colom’s side, why they would tell something good about the competitor. You have to ask opinions to an apolitical person.

    Life has changed in Guatemala this las four years. And the work that’s beeing done, since Berger came in, it looks promising.

    Colom on the other side, instead of saying NO to working with Berger, he should have thought about that 1 million he represents...and worked for them in the government, not letting them alone (since he represents the leader of the group).

    Also it seems Guatemala is not a country in development process (3rd world, on old times). Making numbers 45% of 5 million voters, voted, and 54% elected Berger, so 5,000,000 * (57/100) * (45/100), we have 1,282,500 (aprox.) rich people...awesome!

    I work as a software developer in the government and i have to support my country, not leaving it all alone, just because i disagree with my neighbor.

    Posted by jose luis chavez del cid on Jan 27, 2004 at 7:21 PM

    A few thoughts on Daniel Hughes„s article:

    - The electoral process did not stall - it is a two stage process, as used in many countries, and was designed to allow a second run off should there be no overall (50%+1 vote) victor in the first round. Therefore, the voting pattern showed that the process is running as intended.

    - US-Guatemala free trade negotiations have been going on for the last few years, and have come to fruition in the last months (ie CAFTA), in spite of the previous Portillo government. Although it may be fair to say that the current Berger administration is more free-trade than the previous government, negotionations were not “on-hold”.

    - Rigoberta Menchu, the famed Nobel prize winner, has accepted a position in the Berger government.

    - The current administration is making significant steps in reinvigorating the process to implement the peace accords.

    - Looking at the situation from a completely apolitical perspective, one has to see that EVEN IF Berger is following private sector interests, this is not always bad for “the poor”. Main private sector interests include security, tourism promotion, trade-liberalisation, privatisation WHERE APPROPRIATE, and environmental improvement schemes. These sound like policies that would benefit all levels of society.

    Berger and his new government are a complete breath of fresh air for Guatemala. It has now become a country full of optimism, in all levels of society - for the last 4 years, it was a country that constantly had every reason to be disappointed in its leaders.

    Posted by rt on Jan 28, 2004 at 9:08 AM

    test

    Posted by Seamus on Jan 28, 2004 at 10:57 AM

    Dear sirs:
    I would like to know, what this goverment is offering for the country and i would like to read a story on this issue, what people are expecting from this goverment, and what are the most probable outcome of this goverment;s success. thank you.
    sicerely yours. kurt

    Posted by kurt Coburger on Feb 17, 2004 at 9:14 PM
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